Maritime Shipping Weekly:Shifting Tides

类别:行业研究 机构:摩根大通证券(亚太)有限公司 研究员:Noah R. Parquette 日期:2015-07-28

Oil Tankers

    Nigeria bans specific oil tankers from calling on its portsThe Nigerian state oil company (NNPC) last week banned 113 oil tankers,primarily VLCCs, from calling on Nigerian oil terminals. The ban wasreportedly due to a crackdown on oil theft and corruption in the country, asit’s alleged that there were discrepancies between loading and dischargefigures. Intertanko strongly opposes the ban, pointing out that some of theships haven’t called on Nigeria ports in years, and some haven't called atall. Regardless, if the ban holds we believe this could have a positive effecton the tanker market, as the ban would artificially reduce local supply offWest Africa and decrease trading efficiencies, effectively lowering theoverall supply potential of the fleet.

    Push for repeal of crude export ban continues

    The Senate Energy committee released a bill last week that did not includelegislation that would repeal the ban on exporting crude oil. Nevertheless,Senator Lisa Murkowski, the Alaskan Senator who has been championinga repeal of the law, said she intends to have the panel vote before Augustrecess (August 7th) on a bill that includes oil exports. Regardless, debate inCongress over repealing the ban continues to grow, especially after the Irandeal was announced. We continue to view a repeal of the ban as asignificant positive for smaller crude tanker, with neutral to slightlynegative effects for product tankers.

    EURN and ASC remain our top picks in the sector.

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盈利预测

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股票名称11年EPS12年EPS研报
荣盛发展 0.75 1.04 研报
绿地控股 0.55 0.30 研报
新城控股 0 0 研报
光大嘉宝 0.60 0 研报
世联行 0.84 0.62 研报
大悦城 0.30 0.27 研报
蓝光发展 0.24 0 研报
阳光城 0.98 0.90 研报
金科股份 1.15 1.24 研报
中南建设 0.80 0.99 研报
金融街 0.64 0.72 研报

股票关注度

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股票名称关注度平均评级最新评级
海康威视 6 持有 买入
华夏幸福 4 买入 买入
恒逸石化 4 买入 买入
南极电商 4 买入 买入
洽洽食品 4 持有 买入
贵州茅台 3 持有 买入
普洛药业 3 买入 买入
旗滨集团 3 买入 买入
喜临门 3 买入 买入
中南建设 3 买入 买入
比音勒芬 2 买入 持有
吉比特 2 持有 买入
完美世界 2 持有 买入
万科A 2 买入 买入
大悦城 2 买入 买入
美的集团 2 买入 买入
新经典 2 持有 中性

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