China’s Economy:Internet Thinking Explored from An Economics Perspective

类别:宏观经济 机构:中国光大证券(香港)有限公司 研究员:光大证券(香港)研究所 日期:2014-04-14

If we are to remove the buzzwords in China, “Internet thinking” mustbe on the list. This is largely to do with the success of Xiaomi mobilephones which Ju Lei, founder of Xiaomi, has boldly attributed toInternet thinking. After Xiaomi, the public has become very interestedin Internet thinking and hopes to use it to revolutionize other sectorsand replicate Xiaomi’s success. However, what exactly is Internetthinking? So far there does not seem to have a definitive answer.

    Many simply dismiss it as a publicity gimmick or Xiaomi marketinghype.

    We believe the confusion is caused by the absence of a cleardefinition of the Internet thinking concept itself. This is exactly whatthe author is trying to explain from an economics perspective.

    In the author’s mind, Internet thinking does exist. Once the Internet isbeing used in businesses, traditional marketing models andphilosophies are revolutionized. Strictly speaking, the so-calledInternet thinking is a business model emerging from a vastcustomer base which has experienced tremendous baseexpansion and cost reduction enabled by the Internet. Theguiding principle of Internet thinking is this: “Ordinary people isking, user experience is priority, and scale is key”. Next, we shallengage the supply and demand analytical tools in economics toelaborate.

    Any given type of goods (service may also be defined as goods),may be rated differently by different users. Customers who are reallyin need of the goods will be willing to pay higher price while thosewith weak desire will only be willing to pay lower price. Therefore, asthe price of a product (or service) increases, the number ofcustomers willing to pay for it will decrease. If we translate this in agraph with price and quantity as the two axis, we will have adownward sloping demand curve that we are all familiar with. On theother hand, companies usually face increasing marginal cost. Thelarger the output, the higher the selling price required to make up forthe higher cost. Graphically, this is an upward sloping supply curve.

    The intersection of the demand and supply curves represents theactual transaction quantity and price.

    Under traditional production technologies, marginal costs ofproduction rise rapidly. This is because companies have limitedcapacities. When utilization closes to the maximum capacity,machine impairment and labour cost will drastically increase. Thismay also be a result of the companies’ limited marketing capacity sothat it needs to bear higher cost to promote the goods to morepeople. No matter what the reasons are, the endgame is that thecompanies can only serve so many customers. If we represent thisgraphically, we will have a rather steep supply curve. Theintersection of this supply and demand curves will not be too faraway from the origin. Let’s call this the “near end” of the demandcurve (Figure 1).

数据推荐

投资评级

更多>>
股票名称最新评级目标价研报
广州友谊 持有 30.50 研报
国睿科技 持有 -- 研报
海能达 持有 15.00 研报
中信银行 买入 -- 研报
中国银行 买入 -- 研报
建设银行 买入 -- 研报
光大银行 买入 -- 研报
工商银行 买入 -- 研报
交通银行 买入 -- 研报
农业银行 买入 -- 研报
北京银行 持有 -- 研报

盈利预测

评级选股>>
股票名称11年EPS12年EPS研报
国睿科技 0.49 0.75 研报
海能达 0.62 0.57 研报
广州友谊 1.07 1.06 研报
浦发银行 1.27 1.50 研报
农业银行 0.36 0.40 研报
光大银行 0.35 0.48 研报
交通银行 0.71 0.69 研报
华夏银行 1.10 1.47 研报
招商银行 1.35 1.48 研报
北京银行 1.11 1.22 研报
中信银行 0.57 0.64 研报

股票关注度

更多>>
股票名称关注度平均评级最新评级
保利地产 29 持有 持有
万科A 28 持有 持有
泸州老窖 27 持有 持有
贵州茅台 26 持有 持有
洋河股份 25 持有 持有
保利地产 23 持有 持有
南京银行 23 持有 持有
万科A 22 中性 持有
浦发银行 22 持有 持有
中炬高新 22 持有 减持
贵州茅台 21 持有 持有
江淮汽车 21 持有 持有
兴业银行 21 持有 持有
应流股份 21 持有 持有
张裕A 21 持有 买入
五粮液 20 持有 买入
双汇发展 20 持有 买入

行业关注度

更多>>
行业名称关注度关注股票数买入评级数
电子信息 877 164 286
生物制药 625 100 359
房地产 580 63 117
电子器件 573 90 123
化工行业 506 90 166
食品行业 503 41 248
金融行业 496 40 193
农林牧渔 480 42 185
商业百货 467 65 155
机械行业 445 104 117
交通运输 402 56 160
酒店旅游 344 31 188
汽车制造 339 59 123
煤炭行业 317 29 126
服装鞋类 317 42 107
酿酒行业 292 18 114
建筑建材 271 51 122